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Swansea City v Norwich City prediction

Sat 25 Oct, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Swansea City to win 43%
Swansea 43% Draw 27% Norwich 30%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.34 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwansea City to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swansea City All games D L
0–0 at SOU 0–1 v QPR
Norwich City All games L L L
1–3 at IPS 0–1 v BSC 0–1 at DRB

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 0 of Swansea City's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Norwich City's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwanseaDrawNorwich
WilliamHill 2.30 3.30 2.90
Ladbrokes 2.25 3.40 3.00
Marathonbet 2.25 3.42 2.98
bet365 2.25 3.30 3.20
Betfair 2.20 3.40 2.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swansea City v Norwich City: prediction and result

Swansea City hosted Norwich City in the Championship on Saturday 25 October and won 2–1.

Swansea City are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 1 points from a possible 6. They have scored 0 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Queens Park Rangers.

Norwich City are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 3, 0 points from a possible 9. They have scored 1 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Derby County.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Swansea, 3.42 for the draw and 3.20 for Norwich. The bookmakers make Swansea City favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swansea City to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.34. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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0–3 FT Ipswich Town v Charlton Athletic Ipswich Town to win 53% 1–2 FT Portsmouth v Coventry City Coventry City to win 45% 2–0 FT Millwall v Stoke City Millwall to win 42% 2–1 FT Hull City v Leicester City Leicester City to win 41% 1–0 FT Derby County v Norwich City Derby County to win 40% 0–1 FT Preston North End v Birmingham City Birmingham City to win 38% 1–3 FT Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield United Blackburn Rovers to win 36% 3–1 FT Bristol City v Southampton Bristol City to win 41%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.