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Preston North End v Swansea City prediction

Wed 5 Nov, 19:45 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Preston North End to win 40%
Preston North End 40% Draw 30% Swansea 30%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.51 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePreston North End to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Preston North End All games L L W W
1–2 at WBA 0–1 v BRC 3–2 v SHU 2–0 at SOU
Swansea City All games D L W D
0–0 at SOU 0–1 v QPR 2–1 v NOR 1–1 at CHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 1 of Preston North End's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Swansea City's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPreston North EndDrawSwansea
bet365 2.25 3.00 3.50
WilliamHill 2.25 3.00 3.30
Marathonbet 2.24 3.06 3.34
Ladbrokes 2.20 3.20 3.40
Betfair 2.15 2.80 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Preston North End v Swansea City: prediction and result

Preston North End hosted Swansea City in the Championship on Wednesday 5 November and won 2–1.

Preston North End are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 4, 6 points from a possible 12. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Southampton.

Swansea City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 5 points from a possible 12. They have scored 3 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Charlton Athletic.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Preston North End, 3.20 for the draw and 3.50 for Swansea. The bookmakers make Preston North End favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Preston North End to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.51. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.