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Blackburn Rovers v Derby County prediction

Sat 8 Nov, 12:30 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Blackburn Rovers to win 46%
Blackburn 46% Draw 28% Derby 26%
Best price2.10 Ladbrokes Fair price2.17 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBlackburn Rovers to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Blackburn Rovers All games L L W W W
0–2 at CVC 1–3 v SHU 2–1 v SOU 2–0 at LEI 1–0 at BSC
Derby County All games L W W W W
0–1 at OXF 1–0 v NOR 1–0 v QPR 3–1 at SHU 2–1 v HUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Blackburn Rovers's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Derby County's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBlackburnDrawDerby
Ladbrokes 2.10 3.40 3.40
WilliamHill 2.10 3.20 3.40
Marathonbet 2.08 3.30 3.46
bet365 2.05 3.50 3.50
Betfair 1.80 3.00 4.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Blackburn Rovers v Derby County: prediction and result

Blackburn Rovers hosted Derby County in the Championship on Saturday 8 November, and Derby County won 1–2 away from home.

Blackburn Rovers are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Bristol City.

Derby County are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Hull City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Blackburn, 3.50 for the draw and 4.20 for Derby. The bookmakers make Blackburn Rovers favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Blackburn Rovers to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 2.10 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 2.17. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.