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Middlesbrough v Birmingham City prediction

Sat 8 Nov, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Middlesbrough to win 41%
Middlesbrough 41% Draw 28% Birmingham 31%
Best price2.60 Betfair Fair price2.45 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 37%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Middlesbrough All games W W D L D
2–1 v IPS 1–0 at SHF 1–1 v WXH 0–3 at WAT 1–1 at LEI
Birmingham City All games L W L W W
2–3 v HUL 1–0 at PNE 0–1 at BSC 4–0 v PTM 4–0 v MLW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Middlesbrough's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Birmingham City's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham
Betfair 2.60 2.90 2.60
Ladbrokes 2.45 3.25 2.87
WilliamHill 2.45 3.00 2.90
Marathonbet 2.41 3.16 2.93
bet365 2.35 3.40 2.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Middlesbrough v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Middlesbrough hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Saturday 8 November and won 2–1.

Middlesbrough are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Leicester City.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win at home to Millwall.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.60 for Middlesbrough, 3.40 for the draw and 2.93 for Birmingham. The bookmakers see little between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City here.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 37% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.60 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.45, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.