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Millwall v Preston North End prediction

Sat 8 Nov, 12:30 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Millwall to win 44%
Millwall 44% Draw 28% Preston North End 28%
Best price2.25 Ladbrokes Fair price2.29 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMillwall to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Millwall All games W W W D L
2–1 at QPR 2–0 v STK 1–0 v LEI 2–2 at OXF 0–4 at BRC
Preston North End All games L L W W W
1–2 at WBA 0–1 v BRC 3–2 v SHU 2–0 at SOU 2–1 v SWA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 0 of Millwall's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Preston North End's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMillwallDrawPreston North End
Ladbrokes 2.25 3.10 3.40
bet365 2.25 3.20 3.20
Marathonbet 2.22 3.10 3.34
WilliamHill 2.20 3.00 3.40
Betfair 2.00 3.00 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Millwall v Preston North End: prediction and result

Millwall hosted Preston North End in the Championship on Saturday 8 November, and it finished 1–1.

Millwall are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat away at Birmingham City.

Preston North End are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Swansea City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Millwall, 3.20 for the draw and 3.50 for Preston North End. The bookmakers make Millwall favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Millwall to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.25 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 2.29. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.