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Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 15:00 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 47%
Brighton 47% Draw 27% Brentford 26%
Best price2.15 bet365 Fair price2.13 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrighton & Hove Albion to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brighton & Hove Albion All games D W L W D
1–1 at WOL 2–1 v NEW 2–4 at MUN 3–0 v LEE 0–0 at CRY
Brentford All games L W W L W
0–1 v MCI 2–0 at WHU 3–2 v LIV 0–2 at CRY 3–1 v NEW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 1 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Brentford's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrightonDrawBrentford
bet365 2.15 3.40 3.40
WilliamHill 2.05 3.30 3.40
Betfair 1.90 3.25 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Brentford: prediction and result

Brighton & Hove Albion hosted Brentford in the Premier League on Saturday 22 November and won 2–1.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Crystal Palace.

Brentford are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Newcastle United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Brighton, 3.40 for the draw and 3.50 for Brentford. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.15 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.13, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.