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Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Sun 23 Nov, 16:30 Premier League Full time 4–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Arsenal to win 65%
Arsenal 65% Draw 22% Tottenham 13%
Best price1.48 bet365 Fair price1.54 from our 65%

How we got to 65%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 65%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 65%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 65%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Arsenal All games W W W D
1–0 at FUL 1–0 v CRY 2–0 at BUR 2–2 at SUN
Tottenham Hotspur All games L W L D
1–2 v AVL 3–0 at EVE 0–1 v CHE 2–2 v MUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 0 of Arsenal's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerArsenalDrawTottenham
bet365 1.48 4.33 7.00
WilliamHill 1.44 4.20 7.50
Betfair 1.42 4.00 7.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur: prediction and result

Arsenal hosted Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on Sunday 23 November and won 4–1.

Arsenal are in strong form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 4, 10 points from a possible 12. They have scored 6 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Sunderland.

Tottenham Hotspur are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 4, 4 points from a possible 12. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Manchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.48 for Arsenal, 4.33 for the draw and 7.50 for Tottenham. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 65% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 65% chance. The market puts it at 65% and our match model at 65%, and blending those with recent form gives 65%. The best price, 1.48 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.54. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.