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Burnley v Chelsea prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 12:30 Premier League Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Chelsea to win 58%
Burnley 19% Draw 23% Chelsea 58%
Best price1.60 bet365 Fair price1.74 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 60%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games L W W L L
1–2 at AVL 2–0 v LEE 3–2 at WOL 0–2 v ARS 2–3 at WHU
Chelsea All games W L W W
3–0 at NFO 1–2 v SUN 1–0 at TOT 3–0 v WOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 0 of Burnley's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Chelsea's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawChelsea
Betfair 6.50 4.25 1.44
WilliamHill 5.00 4.00 1.57
bet365 5.00 4.20 1.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Chelsea: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday 22 November, and Chelsea won 0–2 away from home.

Burnley are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at West Ham United.

Chelsea are in strong form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 9 points from a possible 12. They have scored 8 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 6.50 for Burnley, 4.25 for the draw and 1.60 for Chelsea. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 60% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.60 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.74. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.