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Newcastle United v Manchester City prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 17:30 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Manchester City to win 45%
Newcastle 30% Draw 25% Man City 45%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.22 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games W L W L L
2–0 v NFO 1–2 at BHA 2–1 v FUL 1–3 at WHU 1–3 at BRE
Manchester City All games W W L W W
1–0 at BRE 2–0 v EVE 0–1 at AVL 3–1 v BOU 3–0 v LIV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 1 of Newcastle United's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Manchester City's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawMan City
bet365 3.80 3.80 1.90
WilliamHill 3.50 3.50 2.00
Betfair 3.25 3.25 1.95
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Manchester City: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Saturday 22 November and won 2–1.

Newcastle United are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Brentford.

Manchester City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Liverpool.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.80 for Newcastle, 3.80 for the draw and 2.00 for Man City. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.22. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.