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Portsmouth v Millwall prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 15:00 Championship Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Portsmouth to win 39%
Portsmouth 39% Draw 28% Millwall 33%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.57 from our 39%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePortsmouth to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Portsmouth All games L L L D L
1–2 v CVC 0–1 v STK 0–4 at BRC 0–0 v WXH 2–3 at HUL
Millwall All games W W D L D
2–0 v STK 1–0 v LEI 2–2 at OXF 0–4 at BRC 1–1 v PNE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 1 of Portsmouth's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Millwall's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPortsmouthDrawMillwall
WilliamHill 2.30 3.10 3.10
Betfair 2.30 3.00 2.90
bet365 2.25 3.25 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Portsmouth v Millwall: prediction and result

Portsmouth hosted Millwall in the Championship on Saturday 22 November and won 3–1.

Portsmouth are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Hull City.

Millwall are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Preston North End.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Portsmouth, 3.25 for the draw and 3.25 for Millwall. The bookmakers make Portsmouth favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Portsmouth to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.57. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.