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Brentford v Burnley prediction

Sat 29 Nov, 15:00 Premier League Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Brentford to win 56%
Brentford 56% Draw 23% Burnley 22%
Best price1.50 WilliamHill Fair price1.80 from our 56%

How we got to 56%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 64%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrentford to win 56%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brentford All games W W L W L
2–0 at WHU 3–2 v LIV 0–2 at CRY 3–1 v NEW 1–2 at BHA
Burnley All games W W L L L
2–0 v LEE 3–2 at WOL 0–2 v ARS 2–3 at WHU 0–2 v CHE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 2 of Brentford's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Burnley's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrentfordDrawBurnley
WilliamHill 1.50 4.33 6.00
bet365 1.48 4.33 6.50
Betfair 1.44 4.33 6.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brentford v Burnley: prediction and result

Brentford hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Saturday 29 November and won 3–1.

Brentford are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Burnley are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Chelsea.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.50 for Brentford, 4.33 for the draw and 6.50 for Burnley. The bookmakers make Brentford favourites, at about 63% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brentford to win, with a 56% chance. The market puts it at 64% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 56%. The best price, 1.50 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.80. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.