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Manchester City v Leeds United prediction

Sat 29 Nov, 15:00 Premier League Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester City to win 72%
Man City 72% Draw 16% Leeds 12%
Best price1.22 WilliamHill Fair price1.39 from our 72%

How we got to 72%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 78%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 63%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 72%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester City All games W L W W L
2–0 v EVE 0–1 at AVL 3–1 v BOU 3–0 v LIV 1–2 at NEW
Leeds United All games L W L L L
0–2 at BUR 2–1 v WHU 0–3 at BHA 1–3 at NFO 1–2 v AVL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 1 of Manchester City's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Leeds United's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan CityDrawLeeds
WilliamHill 1.22 6.50 11.00
bet365 1.20 7.50 11.00
Betfair 1.18 6.50 12.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester City v Leeds United: prediction and result

Manchester City hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Saturday 29 November and won 3–2.

Manchester City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Newcastle United.

Leeds United are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Aston Villa.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.22 for Man City, 7.50 for the draw and 12.00 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 79% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 72% chance. The market puts it at 78% and our match model at 63%, and blending those with recent form gives 72%. The best price, 1.22 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.39. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.