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Everton v Newcastle United prediction

Sat 29 Nov, 17:30 Premier League Full time 1–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Everton to win 36%
Everton 36% Draw 29% Newcastle 35%
Best price2.75 WilliamHill Fair price2.76 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceEverton to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Everton All games L L D W W
0–2 at MCI 0–3 v TOT 1–1 at SUN 2–0 v FUL 1–0 at MUN
Newcastle United All games L W L L W
1–2 at BHA 2–1 v FUL 1–3 at WHU 1–3 at BRE 2–1 v MCI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 1 of Everton's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Newcastle United's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerEvertonDrawNewcastle
WilliamHill 2.75 3.20 2.60
bet365 2.70 3.30 2.62
Betfair 2.60 3.00 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Everton v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Everton hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Saturday 29 November, and Newcastle United won 1–4 away from home.

Everton are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Manchester United.

Newcastle United are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Manchester City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.75 for Everton, 3.30 for the draw and 2.62 for Newcastle. The bookmakers see little between Newcastle United and Everton here.

Our prediction: Everton to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.76. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.