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Sunderland v AFC Bournemouth prediction

Sat 29 Nov, 15:00 Premier League Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Sunderland to win 36%
Sunderland 36% Draw 29% AFC Bournemouth 35%
Best price3.20 bet365 Fair price2.81 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 30%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSunderland to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland All games W W D D L
2–0 v WOL 2–1 at CHE 1–1 v EVE 2–2 v ARS 0–1 at FUL
AFC Bournemouth All games D W L L D
3–3 at CRY 2–0 v NFO 1–3 at MCI 0–4 at AVL 2–2 v WHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Sunderland's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Bournemouth's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSunderlandDrawAFC Bournemouth
bet365 3.20 3.30 2.30
WilliamHill 3.10 3.20 2.38
Betfair 3.00 3.00 2.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Sunderland v AFC Bournemouth: prediction and result

Sunderland hosted AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday 29 November and won 3–2.

Sunderland are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Fulham.

AFC Bournemouth are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to West Ham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.20 for Sunderland, 3.30 for the draw and 2.38 for AFC Bournemouth. The bookmakers make AFC Bournemouth favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Sunderland to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 30% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 3.20 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.81, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.