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Aston Villa v Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction

Sun 30 Nov, 14:05 Premier League Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Aston Villa to win 67%
Aston Villa 67% Draw 20% Wolves 13%
Best price1.50 bet365 Fair price1.49 from our 67%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 64%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 72%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAston Villa to win 67%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Aston Villa All games W W L W W
2–1 at TOT 1–0 v MCI 0–2 at LIV 4–0 v BOU 2–1 at LEE
Wolverhampton Wanderers All games L L L L L
0–2 at SUN 2–3 v BUR 0–3 at FUL 0–3 at CHE 0–2 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 1 of Aston Villa's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Wolverhampton Wanderers's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAston VillaDrawWolves
bet365 1.50 4.50 6.25
WilliamHill 1.44 4.20 6.50
Betfair 1.42 4.25 6.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Aston Villa v Wolverhampton Wanderers: prediction and result

Aston Villa hosted Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Premier League on Sunday 30 November and won 1–0.

Aston Villa are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Leeds United.

Wolverhampton Wanderers are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.50 for Aston Villa, 4.50 for the draw and 6.50 for Wolves. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 64% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 67% chance. The market puts it at 64% and our match model at 72%, and blending those with recent form gives 67%. The best price, 1.50 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.