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Hull City v Middlesbrough prediction

Fri 5 Dec, 20:15 Championship Full time 1–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Middlesbrough to win 42%
Hull 31% Draw 26% Middlesbrough 42%
Best price2.40 WilliamHill Fair price2.36 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Hull City All games L W L L W
1–2 at DRB 3–2 v PTM 2–3 at QPR 0–2 v IPS 2–1 at STK
Middlesbrough All games D W D L W
1–1 at LEI 2–1 v BRC 1–1 at OXF 2–4 v CVC 2–1 v DRB

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Hull City's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Middlesbrough's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerHullDrawMiddlesbrough
Betfair 2.90 3.50 2.10
WilliamHill 2.75 3.40 2.40
bet365 2.75 3.60 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Hull City v Middlesbrough: prediction and result

Hull City hosted Middlesbrough in the Championship on Friday 5 December, and Middlesbrough won 1–4 away from home.

Hull City are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Stoke City.

Middlesbrough are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Derby County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Hull, 3.60 for the draw and 2.40 for Middlesbrough. The bookmakers make Middlesbrough favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.36, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Blackburn Rovers v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 46% 3–2 FT Watford v Norwich City Watford to win 51% 1–3 FT Derby County v Leicester City Derby County to win 37% 4–0 FT Sheffield United v Stoke City Sheffield United to win 47% 0–1 FT Bristol City v Millwall Bristol City to win 45% 2–0 FT Swansea City v Oxford United Swansea City to win 43% 3–0 FT Ipswich Town v Coventry City Ipswich Town to win 43% 3–1 FT Southampton v Birmingham City Southampton to win 41%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.