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Bristol City v Millwall prediction

Sat 6 Dec, 15:00 Championship Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bristol City to win 45%
Bristol 45% Draw 27% Millwall 28%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.24 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBristol City to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol City All games L D W L W
0–1 v BBR 1–1 at WAT 3–0 v SWA 0–2 at WXH 1–0 at PTM
Millwall All games L D L W W
0–4 at BRC 1–1 v PNE 1–3 at PTM 1–0 v SHF 3–2 v SOU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 1 of Bristol City's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Millwall's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawMillwall
WilliamHill 2.05 3.30 3.50
bet365 2.05 3.50 3.50
Betfair 2.00 3.00 3.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol City v Millwall: prediction and result

Bristol City hosted Millwall in the Championship on Saturday 6 December, and Millwall won 0–1 away from home.

Bristol City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Portsmouth.

Millwall are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Southampton.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Bristol, 3.50 for the draw and 3.50 for Millwall. The bookmakers make Bristol City favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bristol City to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.24. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Blackburn Rovers v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 46% 1–4 FT Hull City v Middlesbrough Middlesbrough to win 42% 3–2 FT Watford v Norwich City Watford to win 51% 1–3 FT Derby County v Leicester City Derby County to win 37% 4–0 FT Sheffield United v Stoke City Sheffield United to win 47% 2–0 FT Swansea City v Oxford United Swansea City to win 43% 3–0 FT Ipswich Town v Coventry City Ipswich Town to win 43% 3–1 FT Southampton v Birmingham City Southampton to win 41%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.