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Southampton v Birmingham City prediction

Sat 6 Dec, 15:00 Championship Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Southampton to win 41%
Southampton 41% Draw 26% Birmingham 32%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.42 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games W W W W L
2–1 at QPR 3–1 v SHF 5–1 at CHA 3–0 v LEI 2–3 at MLW
Birmingham City All games W L W D W
4–0 v MLW 1–2 at MID 4–1 v NOR 1–1 at WBA 2–1 v WAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 1 of Southampton's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Birmingham City's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawBirmingham
WilliamHill 2.25 3.40 2.90
Betfair 2.20 3.00 2.90
bet365 2.20 3.60 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Saturday 6 December and won 3–1.

Southampton are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 15 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Millwall.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Watford.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Southampton, 3.60 for the draw and 3.00 for Birmingham. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.42. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.