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Swansea City v Oxford United prediction

Sat 6 Dec, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Swansea City to win 43%
Swansea 43% Draw 28% Oxford 29%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.30 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwansea City to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swansea City All games L L L L L
1–2 at PNE 1–4 v IPS 0–3 at BSC 1–2 v DRB 2–3 at WBA
Oxford United All games L L D D W
0–3 v STK 1–2 at WBA 1–1 v MID 1–1 at NOR 2–1 v IPS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Swansea City's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Oxford United's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwanseaDrawOxford
WilliamHill 2.05 3.20 3.60
bet365 2.05 3.40 3.70
Betfair 1.95 3.00 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swansea City v Oxford United: prediction and result

Swansea City hosted Oxford United in the Championship on Saturday 6 December and won 2–0.

Swansea City are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 14 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at West Bromwich Albion.

Oxford United are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Ipswich Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Swansea, 3.40 for the draw and 3.70 for Oxford. The bookmakers make Swansea City favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swansea City to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.30. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Blackburn Rovers v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 46% 1–4 FT Hull City v Middlesbrough Middlesbrough to win 42% 3–2 FT Watford v Norwich City Watford to win 51% 1–3 FT Derby County v Leicester City Derby County to win 37% 4–0 FT Sheffield United v Stoke City Sheffield United to win 47% 0–1 FT Bristol City v Millwall Bristol City to win 45% 3–0 FT Ipswich Town v Coventry City Ipswich Town to win 43% 3–1 FT Southampton v Birmingham City Southampton to win 41%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.