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Reading v Luton Town prediction

Thu 18 Dec, 20:00 League One Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Reading to win 37%
Reading 37% Draw 29% Luton 34%
Best price2.63 Betfair Fair price2.68 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceReading to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games W D W L L
1–0 v STV 1–1 v RTU 3–0 at BLK 1–2 v PTU 0–2 at BDC
Luton Town All games L W D D D
0–5 at BRS 2–1 v HDD 1–1 v BOL 1–1 at LEY 2–2 v PTV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 3 of Reading's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Luton Town's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawLuton
Betfair 2.63 3.20 2.75
bet365 2.55 3.10 2.80
WilliamHill 2.50 3.00 2.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Luton Town: prediction and result

Reading hosted Luton Town in the League One on Thursday 18 December and won 3–2.

Reading are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Bradford City.

Luton Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Port Vale.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.63 for Reading, 3.20 for the draw and 2.80 for Luton. The bookmakers see little between Reading and Luton Town here.

Our prediction: Reading to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.63 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.68. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.