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Port Vale v Peterborough United prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Port Vale to win 42%
Port Vale 42% Draw 26% Peterborough 33%
Best price2.38 Betfair Fair price2.40 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePort Vale to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Port Vale All games L D L L D
0–4 at BOL 0–0 v WYC 0–1 v PLA 0–1 at LNC 2–2 at LUT
Peterborough United All games W L L W W
3–0 v STO 0–1 v STV 1–2 at DNR 2–1 at RDG 2–1 v NHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 0 of Port Vale's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Peterborough United's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPort ValeDrawPeterborough
Betfair 2.38 3.40 2.90
WilliamHill 2.25 3.30 2.90
bet365 2.20 3.40 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Port Vale v Peterborough United: prediction and result

Port Vale hosted Peterborough United in the League One on Saturday 20 December, and Peterborough United won 0–1 away from home.

Port Vale are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Luton Town.

Peterborough United are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Northampton Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.38 for Port Vale, 3.40 for the draw and 3.00 for Peterborough. The bookmakers make Port Vale favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Port Vale to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.40. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.