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Northampton Town v AFC Wimbledon prediction

Fri 19 Dec, 19:45 League One Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Northampton Town to win 38%
Northampton 38% Draw 29% AFC Wimbledon 33%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.60 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 34%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNorthampton Town to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games W L W D L
2–1 v MAN 1–3 v CDF 3–0 at PLA 1–1 v HDD 1–2 at PTU
AFC Wimbledon All games L L D L D
0–5 at PTU 1–2 v WIG 3–3 at HDD 0–1 at EXE 0–0 v MAN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 4 of Northampton Town's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Wimbledon's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawAFC Wimbledon
WilliamHill 2.30 3.00 3.25
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.30
bet365 2.20 3.10 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v AFC Wimbledon: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Friday 19 December and won 3–1.

Northampton Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Peterborough United.

AFC Wimbledon are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Mansfield Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Northampton, 3.10 for the draw and 3.40 for AFC Wimbledon. The bookmakers make Northampton Town favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Northampton Town to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 34%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.60. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.