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Stevenage v Burton Albion prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 12:30 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stevenage to win 43%
Stevenage 43% Draw 29% Burton 28%
Best price2.15 WilliamHill Fair price2.34 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStevenage to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stevenage All games D W D L W
0–0 v DNR 1–0 at PTU 0–0 at WIG 0–1 v CDF 3–1 at STO
Burton Albion All games W W L L D
2–1 at BDC 1–0 v BLK 0–4 v LEY 0–1 at WIG 0–0 v WYC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 1 of Stevenage's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Burton Albion's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStevenageDrawBurton
WilliamHill 2.15 3.00 3.50
bet365 2.15 3.00 3.60
Betfair 2.10 3.00 3.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stevenage v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Stevenage hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Saturday 20 December, and it finished 2–2.

Stevenage are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Stockport County.

Burton Albion are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Wycombe Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Stevenage, 3.00 for the draw and 3.60 for Burton. The bookmakers make Stevenage favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stevenage to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.15 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.34. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.