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Lincoln City v Cardiff City prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 15:00 League One Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Lincoln City to win 41%
Lincoln 40% Draw 26% Cardiff 33%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.47 from our 41%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLincoln City to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Lincoln City All games W L W W D
2–1 v DNR 2–3 at WYC 1–0 v PTV 3–1 v BRS 2–2 at BLK
Cardiff City All games W W W W W
3–1 at NHT 3–0 v MAN 3–2 v HDD 1–0 at STV 4–3 v DNR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 2 of Lincoln City's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Cardiff City's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLincolnDrawCardiff
WilliamHill 2.25 3.30 3.00
Betfair 2.25 3.30 2.90
bet365 2.20 3.50 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Lincoln City v Cardiff City: prediction and result

Lincoln City hosted Cardiff City in the League One on Saturday 20 December and won 2–1.

Lincoln City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Blackpool.

Cardiff City are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 14 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 4–3 win at home to Doncaster Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Lincoln, 3.50 for the draw and 3.00 for Cardiff. The bookmakers make Lincoln City favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.47. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.