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AFC Bournemouth v Burnley prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 15:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
AFC Bournemouth to win 60%
AFC Bournemouth 60% Draw 22% Burnley 18%
Best price1.50 WilliamHill Fair price1.66 from our 60%

How we got to 60%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 64%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 55%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Bournemouth to win 60%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Bournemouth All games D L L D D
2–2 v WHU 2–3 at SUN 0–1 v EVE 0–0 v CHE 4–4 at MUN
Burnley All games L L L L L
0–2 v CHE 1–3 at BRE 0–1 v CRY 1–2 at NEW 2–3 v FUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 1 of AFC Bournemouth's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Burnley's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC BournemouthDrawBurnley
WilliamHill 1.50 4.40 6.00
bet365 1.48 4.50 6.25
Betfair 1.44 4.60 6.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Bournemouth v Burnley: prediction and result

AFC Bournemouth hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Saturday 20 December, and it finished 1–1.

AFC Bournemouth are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 4–4 draw away at Manchester United.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat at home to Fulham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.50 for AFC Bournemouth, 4.60 for the draw and 6.50 for Burnley. The bookmakers make AFC Bournemouth favourites, at about 64% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 60% chance. The market puts it at 64% and our match model at 55%, and blending those with recent form gives 60%. The best price, 1.50 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.66. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.