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Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 17:30 Premier League Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Liverpool to win 46%
Tottenham 30% Draw 25% Liverpool 45%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.20 from our 46%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Tottenham Hotspur All games L L D W L
1–4 at ARS 1–2 v FUL 2–2 at NEW 2–0 v BRE 0–3 at NFO
Liverpool All games L W D D W
0–3 v NFO 2–0 at WHU 1–1 v SUN 3–3 at LEE 2–0 v BHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 3 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Liverpool's last 4 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerTottenhamDrawLiverpool
Betfair 3.60 3.50 2.00
bet365 3.60 3.60 2.00
WilliamHill 3.50 3.50 2.05
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool: prediction and result

Tottenham Hotspur hosted Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday 20 December, and Liverpool won 1–2 away from home.

Tottenham Hotspur are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Nottingham Forest.

Liverpool are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Brighton & Hove Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.60 for Tottenham, 3.60 for the draw and 2.05 for Liverpool. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.20. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.