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Everton v Arsenal prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 20:00 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Arsenal to win 59%
Everton 17% Draw 24% Arsenal 59%
Best price1.57 WilliamHill Fair price1.69 from our 59%

How we got to 59%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 61%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 59%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Everton All games W L W W L
1–0 at MUN 1–4 v NEW 1–0 at BOU 3–0 v NFO 0–2 at CHE
Arsenal All games W D W L W
4–1 v TOT 1–1 at CHE 2–0 v BRE 1–2 at AVL 2–1 v WOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 2 of Everton's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Arsenal's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerEvertonDrawArsenal
Betfair 6.50 4.00 1.55
bet365 6.25 4.10 1.53
WilliamHill 6.00 3.90 1.57
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Everton v Arsenal: prediction and result

Everton hosted Arsenal in the Premier League on Saturday 20 December, and Arsenal won 0–1 away from home.

Everton are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Chelsea.

Arsenal are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 6.50 for Everton, 4.10 for the draw and 1.57 for Arsenal. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.57 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.69. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.