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Newcastle United v Chelsea prediction

Sat 20 Dec, 12:30 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chelsea to win 39%
Newcastle 36% Draw 26% Chelsea 39%
Best price2.45 Betfair Fair price2.58 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games W W D W L
2–1 v MCI 4–1 at EVE 2–2 v TOT 2–1 v BUR 0–1 at SUN
Chelsea All games W D L D W
2–0 at BUR 1–1 v ARS 1–3 at LEE 0–0 at BOU 2–0 v EVE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle United's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Chelsea's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawChelsea
WilliamHill 2.90 3.40 2.30
Betfair 2.80 3.50 2.45
bet365 2.75 3.50 2.37
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Chelsea: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday 20 December, and it finished 2–2.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Sunderland.

Chelsea are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Everton.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Newcastle, 3.50 for the draw and 2.45 for Chelsea. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.45 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.58. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.