Aston Villa v Manchester United Prediction and Tips, 21 Dec 2025

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →

Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%

Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%

Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —

Blended chanceAston Villa to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first

Aston Villa All games W W W W W

2–1 at LEE 1–0 v WOL 4–3 at BHA 2–1 v ARS 3–2 at WHU

Manchester United All games L W D W D

0–1 v EVE 2–1 at CRY 1–1 v WHU 4–1 at WOL 4–4 v BOU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time

BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 2 of Aston Villa's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Manchester United's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers

BookmakerAston VillaDrawMan United

WilliamHill 2.00 3.50 3.50

Betfair 2.00 3.60 3.50

bet365 2.00 3.70 3.60

Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Aston Villa v Manchester United: prediction and result

Aston Villa hosted Manchester United in the Premier League on Sunday 21 December and won 2–1.

Aston Villa are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win away at West Ham United.

Manchester United are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 4–4 draw at home to AFC Bournemouth.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Aston Villa, 3.70 for the draw and 3.60 for Man United. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.08. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →

2–2 FT Newcastle United v Chelsea Chelsea to win 39% 3–0 FT Manchester City v West Ham United Manchester City to win 78% 1–1 FT AFC Bournemouth v Burnley AFC Bournemouth to win 60% 0–0 FT Brighton & Hove Albion v Sunderland Brighton & Hove Albion to win 54% 0–2 FT Wolverhampton Wanderers v Brentford Brentford to win 43% 1–2 FT Tottenham Hotspur v Liverpool Liverpool to win 46% 0–1 FT Everton v Arsenal Arsenal to win 59% 4–1 FT Leeds United v Crystal Palace Crystal Palace to win 36%

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.

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