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Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth prediction

Tue 30 Dec, 19:30 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chelsea to win 62%
Chelsea 62% Draw 21% AFC Bournemouth 17%
Best price1.57 Betfair Fair price1.62 from our 62%

How we got to 62%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 60%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 65%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 62%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chelsea All games L D W D L
1–3 at LEE 0–0 at BOU 2–0 v EVE 2–2 at NEW 1–2 v AVL
AFC Bournemouth All games L D D D L
0–1 v EVE 0–0 v CHE 4–4 at MUN 1–1 v BUR 1–4 at BRE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 3 of Chelsea's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChelseaDrawAFC Bournemouth
Betfair 1.57 4.33 5.00
bet365 1.57 4.50 5.25
WilliamHill 1.57 4.20 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth: prediction and result

Chelsea hosted AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Tuesday 30 December, and it finished 2–2.

Chelsea are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Aston Villa.

AFC Bournemouth are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–4 defeat away at Brentford.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Chelsea, 4.50 for the draw and 5.25 for AFC Bournemouth. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 61% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 62% chance. The market puts it at 60% and our match model at 65%, and blending those with recent form gives 62%. The best price, 1.57 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.62. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.