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Liverpool v Leeds United prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 17:30 Premier League Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Liverpool to win 62%
Liverpool 62% Draw 22% Leeds 16%
Best price1.50 bet365 Fair price1.61 from our 62%

How we got to 62%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 64%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 59%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 62%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Liverpool All games D D W W W
1–1 v SUN 3–3 at LEE 2–0 v BHA 2–1 at TOT 2–1 v WOL
Leeds United All games W D D W D
3–1 v CHE 3–3 v LIV 1–1 at BRE 4–1 v CRY 1–1 at SUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Liverpool's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Leeds United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLiverpoolDrawLeeds
bet365 1.50 4.33 6.50
Betfair 1.47 4.50 6.50
WilliamHill 1.40 4.33 6.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Liverpool v Leeds United: prediction and result

Liverpool hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Thursday 1 January, and it finished 0–0.

Liverpool are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Leeds United are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Sunderland.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.50 for Liverpool, 4.50 for the draw and 6.50 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 64% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 62% chance. The market puts it at 64% and our match model at 59%, and blending those with recent form gives 62%. The best price, 1.50 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.61. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →
2–2 FT Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth Chelsea to win 62% 1–3 FT Burnley v Newcastle United Newcastle United to win 54% 2–2 FT West Ham United v Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion to win 49% 0–2 FT Nottingham Forest v Everton Nottingham Forest to win 46% 1–1 FT Manchester United v Wolverhampton Wanderers Manchester United to win 68% 4–1 FT Arsenal v Aston Villa Arsenal to win 67% 1–1 FT Crystal Palace v Fulham Crystal Palace to win 39% 0–0 FT Sunderland v Manchester City Manchester City to win 64%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.