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Crystal Palace v Fulham prediction

Thu 1 Jan, 17:30 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Crystal Palace to win 39%
Crystal Palace 39% Draw 28% Fulham 33%
Best price2.30 Betfair Fair price2.56 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrystal Palace to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crystal Palace All games W W L L L
1–0 at BUR 2–1 at FUL 0–3 v MCI 1–4 at LEE 0–1 v TOT
Fulham All games L L W W W
4–5 v MCI 1–2 v CRY 3–2 at BUR 1–0 v NFO 1–0 at WHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Crystal Palace's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Fulham's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCrystal PalaceDrawFulham
Betfair 2.30 3.25 3.30
bet365 2.25 3.25 3.25
WilliamHill 2.20 3.10 3.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crystal Palace v Fulham: prediction and result

Crystal Palace hosted Fulham in the Premier League on Thursday 1 January, and it finished 1–1.

Crystal Palace are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Tottenham Hotspur.

Fulham are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at West Ham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Crystal Palace, 3.25 for the draw and 3.30 for Fulham. The bookmakers make Crystal Palace favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crystal Palace to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.30 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.56. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.