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Cheltenham Town v Crawley Town prediction

Sun 4 Jan, 12:00 League Two Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cheltenham Town to win 39%
Cheltenham 39% Draw 26% Crawley 34%
Best price2.75 Betfair Fair price2.54 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCheltenham Town to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cheltenham Town All games D W W L L
1–1 v HAT 2–1 at BRW 3–1 v SHT 0–2 v SWI 1–4 at CAX
Crawley Town All games D L D L L
2–2 v OAT 0–1 at SWI 1–1 v CLU 1–3 v BMY 1–2 at BNT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 3 of Cheltenham Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Crawley Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCheltenhamDrawCrawley
Betfair 2.75 3.40 2.50
bet365 2.75 3.40 2.45
WilliamHill 2.70 3.10 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cheltenham Town v Crawley Town: prediction and result

Cheltenham Town hosted Crawley Town in the League Two on Sunday 4 January and won 3–0.

Cheltenham Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–4 defeat away at Crewe Alexandra.

Crawley Town are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Barnet.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.75 for Cheltenham, 3.40 for the draw and 2.50 for Crawley. The bookmakers see little between Crawley Town and Cheltenham Town here.

Our prediction: Cheltenham Town to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.75 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.54, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.