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AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool prediction

Sat 24 Jan, 17:30 Premier League Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Liverpool to win 52%
AFC Bournemouth 24% Draw 24% Liverpool 52%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price1.94 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Bournemouth All games L D L W D
1–4 at BRE 2–2 at CHE 2–3 v ARS 3–2 v TOT 1–1 at BHA
Liverpool All games W D D D D
2–1 v WOL 0–0 v LEE 2–2 at FUL 0–0 at ARS 1–1 v BUR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 4 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Liverpool's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC BournemouthDrawLiverpool
Betfair 4.20 3.90 1.75
bet365 4.20 4.00 1.75
WilliamHill 4.00 3.80 1.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool: prediction and result

AFC Bournemouth hosted Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday 24 January and won 3–2.

AFC Bournemouth are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Liverpool are in decent form: 1 won, 4 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Burnley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.20 for AFC Bournemouth, 4.00 for the draw and 1.75 for Liverpool. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.94. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.