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Burnley v Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Sat 24 Jan, 15:00 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Tottenham Hotspur to win 43%
Burnley 29% Draw 28% Tottenham 43%
Best price2.10 Betfair Fair price2.35 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceTottenham Hotspur to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games D L L D D
0–0 v EVE 1–3 v NEW 0–2 at BHA 2–2 v MUN 1–1 at LIV
Tottenham Hotspur All games W D D L L
1–0 at CRY 0–0 at BRE 1–1 v SUN 2–3 at BOU 1–2 v WHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Burnley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawTottenham
bet365 3.90 3.40 2.00
Betfair 3.75 3.00 2.10
WilliamHill 3.70 3.25 2.05
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Tottenham Hotspur: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on Saturday 24 January, and it finished 2–2.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Liverpool.

Tottenham Hotspur are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to West Ham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.90 for Burnley, 3.40 for the draw and 2.10 for Tottenham. The bookmakers make Tottenham Hotspur favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.10 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.35. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.