How we got to 47%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Crystal Palace
All games
L
D
L
D
L
Chelsea
All games
L
D
D
L
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersCrystal Palace v Chelsea: prediction and result
Crystal Palace hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Sunday 25 January, and Chelsea won 1–3 away from home.
Crystal Palace are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Sunderland.
Chelsea are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Brentford.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.40 for Crystal Palace, 3.50 for the draw and 2.10 for Chelsea. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.12. The pick won.
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