How we got to 61%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Arsenal
All games
W
W
W
D
D
Manchester United
All games
W
D
D
D
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersArsenal v Manchester United: prediction and result
Arsenal hosted Manchester United in the Premier League on Sunday 25 January, and Manchester United won 2–3 away from home.
Arsenal are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Nottingham Forest.
Manchester United are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Manchester City.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.55 for Arsenal, 4.50 for the draw and 5.75 for Man United. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 62% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 62%, and blending those with recent form gives 62%. The best price, 1.55 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.63. The pick lost.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.