Newcastle United v Aston Villa Prediction and Tips, 25 Jan 2026

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →

Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%

Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%

Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —

Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first

Newcastle United All games L W W W D

0–1 at MUN 3–1 at BUR 2–0 v CRY 4–3 v LEE 0–0 at WOL

Aston Villa All games W L W D L

2–1 at CHE 1–4 at ARS 3–1 v NFO 0–0 at CRY 0–1 v EVE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time

BTTS Yes67% Both teams scored in 5 of Newcastle United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Aston Villa's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers

BookmakerNewcastleDrawAston Villa

WilliamHill 2.15 3.50 3.10

bet365 2.15 3.60 3.30

Betfair 2.10 3.50 3.30

Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Aston Villa: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday 25 January, and Aston Villa won 0–2 away from home.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Aston Villa are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Everton.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Newcastle, 3.60 for the draw and 3.30 for Aston Villa. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 2.15 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.20. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →

3–1 FT West Ham United v Sunderland West Ham United to win 40% 2–0 FT Manchester City v Wolverhampton Wanderers Manchester City to win 79% 2–2 FT Burnley v Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur to win 43% 2–1 FT Fulham v Brighton & Hove Albion Fulham to win 37% 3–2 FT AFC Bournemouth v Liverpool Liverpool to win 52% 1–3 FT Crystal Palace v Chelsea Chelsea to win 47% 0–2 FT Brentford v Nottingham Forest Brentford to win 47% 2–3 FT Arsenal v Manchester United Arsenal to win 62%

See the chance for every fixture. Every fixture ranked, BTTS picks and the acca slip. 7 days free, then £4.99 a month. Start your free week 18+

Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.

Cookie	What it does	How long it lasts
accaagent-session	Keeps you signed in as you move between pages. It holds a random ID only; the session it points to is kept on our servers and can also hold short-lived things such as your acca slip and, until you sign up, which link or ad brought you to the site.	120 minutes after your last visit
XSRF-TOKEN	Protects forms against cross-site request forgery, so another website can't submit a form as you.	The same as your session
remember_web_…	Keeps you signed in between visits. Only set if you tick "Remember me", or sign in with Google.	400 days, or until you sign out
cookie_consent	Remembers that you've seen our cookie notice, so we don't show it on every page.	12 months