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Everton v Leeds United prediction

Mon 26 Jan, 20:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Everton to win 37%
Everton 37% Draw 29% Leeds 34%
Best price2.50 Betfair Fair price2.74 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 34%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceEverton to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Everton All games D W L D W
0–0 at BUR 2–0 at NFO 2–4 v BRE 1–1 v WOL 1–0 at AVL
Leeds United All games D D D L W
1–1 at SUN 0–0 at LIV 1–1 v MUN 3–4 at NEW 1–0 v FUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Everton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Leeds United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerEvertonDrawLeeds
Betfair 2.50 3.00 3.00
WilliamHill 2.45 3.00 2.90
bet365 2.45 3.20 3.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Everton v Leeds United: prediction and result

Everton hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Monday 26 January, and it finished 1–1.

Everton are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Aston Villa.

Leeds United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Fulham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.50 for Everton, 3.20 for the draw and 3.10 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Everton favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Everton to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 34%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.50 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.74. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.