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Bristol City v Derby County prediction

Fri 30 Jan, 20:00 Championship Full time 0–5
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bristol City to win 47%
Bristol 47% Draw 27% Derby 26%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.12 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBristol City to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol City All games W L D L W
5–0 v PTM 0–2 v PNE 0–0 at OXF 0–2 at IPS 2–0 v SHF
Derby County All games W L W W D
1–0 v MID 1–2 v WXH 1–0 at PNE 2–1 at CHA 1–1 v WBA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 1 of Bristol City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Derby County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawDerby
WilliamHill 2.00 3.30 3.60
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.70
bet365 1.95 3.50 3.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol City v Derby County: prediction and result

Bristol City hosted Derby County in the Championship on Friday 30 January, and Derby County won 0–5 away from home.

Bristol City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Sheffield Wednesday.

Derby County are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to West Bromwich Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Bristol, 3.50 for the draw and 3.70 for Derby. The bookmakers make Bristol City favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bristol City to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.12. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.