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Middlesbrough v Norwich City prediction

Sat 31 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Middlesbrough to win 54%
Middlesbrough 54% Draw 24% Norwich 22%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price1.85 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 55%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Middlesbrough All games L W W W W
0–1 at DRB 4–0 v SOU 3–2 at WBA 2–1 at STK 4–0 v PNE
Norwich City All games W L W W W
2–1 at QPR 0–2 v STK 2–1 at WXH 5–0 at WBA 2–1 v CVC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 2 of Middlesbrough's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Norwich City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMiddlesbroughDrawNorwich
WilliamHill 1.75 3.70 4.33
Betfair 1.67 3.75 4.50
bet365 1.66 4.10 4.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Middlesbrough v Norwich City: prediction and result

Middlesbrough hosted Norwich City in the Championship on Saturday 31 January and won 1–0.

Middlesbrough are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win at home to Preston North End.

Norwich City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Coventry City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Middlesbrough, 4.10 for the draw and 4.50 for Norwich. The bookmakers make Middlesbrough favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 55% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.85. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.