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Stoke City v Southampton prediction

Sat 31 Jan, 12:30 Championship Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Southampton to win 37%
Stoke 36% Draw 27% Southampton 37%
Best price2.63 Betfair Fair price2.69 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stoke City All games W W D L D
1–0 at HUL 2–0 at NOR 0–0 v QPR 1–2 v MID 1–1 at BRC
Southampton All games D L L W D
0–0 v MLW 0–4 at MID 1–2 v HUL 1–0 v SHU 1–1 at PTM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 4 of Stoke City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Southampton's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStokeDrawSouthampton
WilliamHill 2.70 3.25 2.50
bet365 2.62 3.25 2.60
Betfair 2.50 3.25 2.63
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stoke City v Southampton: prediction and result

Stoke City hosted Southampton in the Championship on Saturday 31 January, and Southampton won 0–2 away from home.

Stoke City are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Birmingham City.

Southampton are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Portsmouth.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Stoke, 3.25 for the draw and 2.63 for Southampton. The bookmakers see little between Southampton and Stoke City here.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.63 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.69. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.