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Watford v Swansea City prediction

Sat 31 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Watford to win 47%
Watford 47% Draw 27% Swansea 26%
Best price2.15 bet365 Fair price2.14 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWatford to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Watford All games W W L D D
1–0 at NOR 3–0 v BRC 0–2 v MLW 1–1 v PTM 1–1 at BBR
Swansea City All games W L D W L
1–0 v WBA 1–2 at MLW 1–1 v BRC 3–1 v BBR 1–2 at HUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Watford's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Swansea City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWatfordDrawSwansea
bet365 2.15 3.25 3.50
WilliamHill 2.10 3.20 3.40
Betfair 2.05 3.20 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Watford v Swansea City: prediction and result

Watford hosted Swansea City in the Championship on Saturday 31 January, and Swansea City won 0–2 away from home.

Watford are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Blackburn Rovers.

Swansea City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Hull City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.15 for Watford, 3.25 for the draw and 3.50 for Swansea. The bookmakers make Watford favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Watford to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.15 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.14, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.