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Oxford United v Birmingham City prediction

Sat 31 Jan, 15:00 Championship Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Birmingham City to win 48%
Oxford 26% Draw 27% Birmingham 48%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.10 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Oxford United All games L L D D W
0–1 v SWA 1–2 at IPS 0–0 v BSC 0–0 v QPR 2–1 at LEI
Birmingham City All games L W D W D
0–3 at WAT 3–2 v CVC 1–1 at SWA 2–0 at SHF 1–1 v STK

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Oxford United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Birmingham City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerOxfordDrawBirmingham
Betfair 3.75 3.40 2.00
bet365 3.70 3.60 2.00
WilliamHill 3.40 3.25 2.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Oxford United v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Oxford United hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Saturday 31 January, and Birmingham City won 0–2 away from home.

Oxford United are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Leicester City.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Stoke City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.75 for Oxford, 3.60 for the draw and 2.10 for Birmingham. The bookmakers make Birmingham City favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.10. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.