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Chelsea v Leeds United prediction

Tue 10 Feb, 19:30 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chelsea to win 61%
Chelsea 61% Draw 22% Leeds 17%
Best price1.53 bet365 Fair price1.64 from our 61%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 62%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 59%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 61%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chelsea All games L W W W W
1–2 at FUL 2–0 v BRE 3–1 at CRY 3–2 v WHU 3–1 at WOL
Leeds United All games L W D L W
3–4 at NEW 1–0 v FUL 1–1 at EVE 0–4 v ARS 3–1 v NFO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 4 of Chelsea's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Leeds United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChelseaDrawLeeds
bet365 1.53 4.33 5.75
WilliamHill 1.50 4.20 5.80
Betfair 1.50 4.33 6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chelsea v Leeds United: prediction and result

Chelsea hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Tuesday 10 February, and it finished 2–2.

Chelsea are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Leeds United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Nottingham Forest.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.53 for Chelsea, 4.33 for the draw and 6.00 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 61% chance. The market puts it at 62% and our match model at 59%, and blending those with recent form gives 61%. The best price, 1.53 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.64. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.