Aston Villa v Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction and Tips, 11 Feb 2026

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →

Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%

Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%

Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —

Blended chanceAston Villa to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first

Aston Villa All games D L W L D

0–0 at CRY 0–1 v EVE 2–0 at NEW 0–1 v BRE 1–1 at BOU

Brighton & Hove Albion All games D D L D L

1–1 at MCI 1–1 v BOU 1–2 at FUL 1–1 v EVE 0–1 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time

BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers

BookmakerAston VillaDrawBrighton

bet365 2.10 3.75 3.25

WilliamHill 2.05 3.50 3.30

Betfair 2.00 3.60 3.30

Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Aston Villa v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result

Aston Villa hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Wednesday 11 February and won 1–0.

Aston Villa are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at AFC Bournemouth.

Brighton & Hove Albion are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Aston Villa, 3.75 for the draw and 3.30 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 2.10 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.10, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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2–2 FT Chelsea v Leeds United Chelsea to win 61% 1–2 FT Everton v AFC Bournemouth Everton to win 40% 1–2 FT Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United Newcastle United to win 39% 1–1 FT West Ham United v Manchester United Manchester United to win 52% 3–0 FT Manchester City v Fulham Manchester City to win 69% 0–0 FT Nottingham Forest v Wolverhampton Wanderers Nottingham Forest to win 55% 2–3 FT Crystal Palace v Burnley Crystal Palace to win 60% 0–1 FT Sunderland v Liverpool Liverpool to win 52%

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.

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