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Sunderland v Liverpool prediction

Wed 11 Feb, 20:15 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Liverpool to win 52%
Sunderland 22% Draw 26% Liverpool 52%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price1.92 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland All games L W L W L
0–3 at BRE 2–1 v CRY 1–3 at WHU 3–0 v BUR 0–3 at ARS
Liverpool All games D D L W L
0–0 at ARS 1–1 v BUR 2–3 at BOU 4–1 v NEW 1–2 v MCI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 3 of Sunderland's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Liverpool's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSunderlandDrawLiverpool
Betfair 4.50 3.75 1.75
WilliamHill 4.33 3.70 1.75
bet365 4.33 3.80 1.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Sunderland v Liverpool: prediction and result

Sunderland hosted Liverpool in the Premier League on Wednesday 11 February, and Liverpool won 0–1 away from home.

Sunderland are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Arsenal.

Liverpool are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Manchester City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.50 for Sunderland, 3.80 for the draw and 1.75 for Liverpool. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.92. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.