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Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United prediction

Tue 10 Feb, 19:30 Premier League Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Newcastle United to win 39%
Tottenham 36% Draw 25% Newcastle 39%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.59 from our 39%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 34%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Tottenham Hotspur All games L L D D L
2–3 at BOU 1–2 v WHU 2–2 at BUR 2–2 v MCI 0–2 at MUN
Newcastle United All games W D L L L
4–3 v LEE 0–0 at WOL 0–2 v AVL 1–4 at LIV 2–3 v BRE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes62% Both teams scored in 5 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Newcastle United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerTottenhamDrawNewcastle
bet365 3.00 3.70 2.25
WilliamHill 2.90 3.50 2.25
Betfair 2.90 3.60 2.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Tottenham Hotspur v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Tottenham Hotspur hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Tuesday 10 February, and Newcastle United won 1–2 away from home.

Tottenham Hotspur are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Manchester United.

Newcastle United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat at home to Brentford.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Tottenham, 3.70 for the draw and 2.25 for Newcastle. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 34%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.59. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.