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Crystal Palace v Burnley prediction

Wed 11 Feb, 19:40 Premier League Full time 2–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Crystal Palace to win 60%
Crystal Palace 60% Draw 23% Burnley 17%
Best price1.48 bet365 Fair price1.67 from our 60%

How we got to 60%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 65%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrystal Palace to win 60%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crystal Palace All games D L L D W
0–0 v AVL 1–2 at SUN 1–3 v CHE 1–1 at NFO 1–0 at BHA
Burnley All games D D D L L
2–2 v MUN 1–1 at LIV 2–2 v TOT 0–3 at SUN 0–2 v WHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Crystal Palace's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Burnley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCrystal PalaceDrawBurnley
bet365 1.48 4.50 6.50
WilliamHill 1.44 4.33 6.50
Betfair 1.44 4.33 7.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crystal Palace v Burnley: prediction and result

Crystal Palace hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Wednesday 11 February, and Burnley won 2–3 away from home.

Crystal Palace are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to West Ham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.48 for Crystal Palace, 4.50 for the draw and 7.00 for Burnley. The bookmakers make Crystal Palace favourites, at about 65% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crystal Palace to win, with a 60% chance. The market puts it at 65% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 60%. The best price, 1.48 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.67. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.