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Brentford v Arsenal prediction

Thu 12 Feb, 20:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Arsenal to win 58%
Brentford 19% Draw 24% Arsenal 58%
Best price1.67 WilliamHill Fair price1.73 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 56%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 60%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brentford All games W L L W W
3–0 v SUN 0–2 at CHE 0–2 v NFO 1–0 at AVL 3–2 at NEW
Arsenal All games D D L W W
0–0 v LIV 0–0 at NFO 2–3 v MUN 4–0 at LEE 3–0 v SUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Brentford's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Arsenal's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrentfordDrawArsenal
WilliamHill 5.00 3.60 1.67
Betfair 5.00 3.75 1.65
bet365 5.00 3.75 1.66
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brentford v Arsenal: prediction and result

Brentford hosted Arsenal in the Premier League on Thursday 12 February, and it finished 1–1.

Brentford are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win away at Newcastle United.

Arsenal are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Sunderland.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 5.00 for Brentford, 3.75 for the draw and 1.67 for Arsenal. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 56% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 56% and our match model at 60%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.67 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.73. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.